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Scenario, permutation of the Champions League group stage: Barcelona lost to Benfica; AC Milan need help

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The UEFA Champions League group stage is nearing its final day of competition and we’ll keep you up to date with every match being broadcast on Paramount + and “The Golazo Show” on CBS Sports Network. Overall, 11 of the 16 places in the knockout round have been booked, with 5 remaining and the number of teams still in dispute.

Manchester City, Paris Saint-Germain, Real Madrid, Inter Milan are among the notable teams to win this week. AC Milan manage to continue the dispute towards the final day thanks to the late winner of Junior Messias against Atletico Madrid. Borussia Dortmund, dealing with Erling Haaland’s injury absence, will be relegated to the Europa League knockout stages in third place. Meanwhile, Manchester United – looking for a new manager – lost hands but still managed to finish second in the group.

There’s a lot of bets on the final day of the game, so let’s see who’s in, who’s out, and what the scenarios and permutations are.

Enhanced

Group A

  • City of Manchester to be passed as the winner of the group.
  • Paris Saint-Germain is the runner-up of the group.

Group B

  • Liverpool is the winner of the group.

Group C

  • Ajax is the winner of the group.
  • Sports CP is the runner-up of the group.

EASY group

  • Real Madrid until the last 16.
  • Inter Milan until the last 16.

Group E

  • Bayern Munich to be passed as the winner of the group.

Group F

  • Manchester United until the last 16.

WOOD Group

  • No team won tickets to the round of 16

Family group

  • Chelsea until the last 16.
  • Juventus until the last 16.

What is at stake?

Group A

  • RB Leipzig (4 points, 0 GD) and Club Brugge (4 points, -11 GD) are playing in third place and a spot in the Europa League knockout stages after Manchester City and PSG took the top two places. Leipzig holds a competitive advantage if those two end up on the same score, meaning three points for Jesse Marsch’s side against an already qualified Man City is enough to qualify for the Europa League.

Group B

  • Porto (5 points, -5 GD), AC Milan (4 points, -2 GD) and Atlético Madrid (4 points, -3 GD) are all playing in second place behind Liverpool. Milan will need a win over an arguably weaker Liverpool side and a draw in the Porto-Atleti tie to reach the last 16 surprise round of 16. For Porto or Atleti it’s much simpler – win and you’re in .

Group C

  • All four teams were locked into their positions.

EASY group

  • Real Madrid (12 points, +9 GD) and Inter Milan (10 points, +5 GD) will meet at the Santiago Bernabeu. The only way Real Madrid can’t top the table is if they lose to Inter at home. A draw is enough to cling to first place and Pot 1 at a draw.

Group E

  • Barcelona (7 points, -4 GD) do not exceed the limit of tiebreaker Benfica (5 points, -4 GD) should be two levels of completion on the point. Benfica’s 3-0 loss to the Catalans on September 29 will help if they can beat Dynamo Kiev at home on the final day of the group stage. Barca need an away win against a team that is said to be weaker than Bayern Munich playing for pride after having taken the lead.

Group F

  • Manchester United (10 points, +3 GD) can win the group with a draw or win Young boys (4 points, -5 GD), who were knocked out of the knockout stages of the Champions League but still managed to secure a Europa League spot with third place overall. Atalanta (6 points, 0 GD) will hold Villarreal (7 points, +2 GD) is basically the last available spot in the knockout round. A draw was enough for Villarreal to pass.

WOOD Group

  • Lille (8 points, +1 GD), Red Bull Salzburg (7 points, +1 GD), Seville (6 points, +1 GD) and Wolfsburg (5 points, -3 GD) all still alive in what is said to be the wildest of the bunch. For Lille, a draw against Wolfsburg was enough to get them through. Salzburg will host Sevilla and a win from any of the two will secure their place in the next stage. If you’re a fan of chaos, you might want to root for a draw for Salzburg and a win for Wolfsburg, which would leave us with three teams tied with eight points.

Family group

  • Chelsea (12 points, +9 GD) hold the tiebreak tighter Juventus (12 points, +3 GD) is based on head-to-head goal difference, so both finished on equal points. There are only two scenarios that would put Juventus at the top of the table: A win against Malmo and a Chelsea loss/draw against Zenit or a Juve draw against Malmo plus a loss to Chelsea.

Watch Europa League

The third-placed teams in each group will be relegated to the Europa League and enter the knockout round draw. The following teams have been placed in the Europa League spots: Borussia Dortmund (Group C), Police Chief Tiraspol (Group D) and Zenit Saint Petersburg (Group H).

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