NS Buffalo Bills and New Orleans Saints will end the Thanksgiving program to usher in Week 12 when these clubs leave the Caesars Superdome. Week 11 didn’t go well for either of these teams as both suffered defeats and saw their opponents take 40 or more points. This loss especially affects Buffalo as they have now fallen out of first place in the AFC East, following Patriots. Meanwhile, the Saints have dropped to .500 during the season, but are still in the dense qualifiers of the playoff picture in NFC, trailing the 7th seed in the conference.
Below, we will specifically take a look at the different bets that this rush hour match is available to us. We’ll take a look at how the lines have moved during the week leading up to Thursday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with some of our favorite player props. we.
All of NFL Odds through Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Day: Thursday, November 25 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
TV: NBC | Current: fuboTV (try free)
Monitor: CBS Sports App
The odds: Bill -6, O/U 45.5
New Orleans Saints +6
Bills of Exchange opened as a 4.5 point favorite, and that number maintained even in Week 11’s blocking medium. However, since then, it has risen to -6, likely due to Alvin Kamara was ruled out along with several other key Saints players due to injury.
Choice: Invoice -6. Buffalo is looking to recover from that tragic home loss for Colts and is nicely set up to do so in New Orleans. Kamara not only didn’t get excited, but ran back Mark Ingram is questionable and addresses All-Pro’s rights as Ryan Ramcyk has also been disqualified. Given that Bills of Exchange are only torn to pieces by Jonathan Taylor With the tune of five hits, avoiding an elite return like Kamara was essential. Buffalo has also averaged 6.3 yards per play over the past three weeks (second best in NFL), which could indicate a problem with the protection of the saints just authorized Jalen Hurts and Eagle posted 40 points on Sunday and 380 yards of violation
Main trend: Bill of exchange is 3-0-1 ATS after instant loss.
Over / Below total
The total for this most important event opens at 48 but has dropped significantly as the week has passed. Coming from Week 11, the total score was 47, but as various Saints players were eliminated from this match, this has dropped to 45.5.
Choice: Under 45.5. If the saints wouldn’t have this many important players, it’s hard to imagine that Trevor Siemian will be able to put plenty of points across the board, especially against the Buffalo defense that remains the NFL’s No. 1 in DVOA into Week 12. Even with the Bills averaging 31 points per game on the road this season, it’s hard to beat. Saints to make the end of the bargain so that this thing passes.
Main trend: Under was 8-0-1 in the Saints in nine games last Thursday.
- Passing to the ground: 1.5 (Over -180, Below +150)
- Passing the pitch: 276.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Total number of interceptions: 0.5 (Above -105, Under -125)
- Completed the longest pass: 38.5 (Above -115, Under -115)
- Quick plunge: 32.5 (Above -130, Under +100)
Value isn’t great at -180, but Allen has thrown multiple touchdowns in eight of his 10 games played this season, which makes it favorable for that assist to come on Thursday night. Allen has also overcome this rush gap in six games this season.
Trevor Siemian props
- Passing the pitch: 206.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
Siemian overcame this number of passes in all three starts in this position leading up to Week 12. That said, Buffalo is the No. 1 passing defence in DVOA this season. It should also be noted that Siemian was named in this week’s injury report (as a full participant) with a right hand injury.
The props players need to consider
Devin Singletary Total javelin yards: Over 24.5 (-115). Singletary is averaging almost double this prop this season and has surpassed this total in eight of his 10g games played this season. The Saints also just allowed two different defenders (and Jalen Hurts) to dash more than 60 yards last week.
Dawson Knox Total number of receptions: More than 3.5 (-110). Knox saw the top 10 of the season against the Colts last week and took home the top six of the season. While that increase in volume may have been due to Buffalo attempting to bounce back from a steep loss to Indy, Knox has a solid run of games this week as the Saints allow 4.8 hits/game this season to confront closely and only allowed Dallas Goedert to catch five of his eight goals last week by 62 yards.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/bills-at-saints-predictions-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-for-thanksgiving-matchup-in-new-orleans/ Bills at Saints Predictions: Score difference, totals, player props, trends for Thanksgiving New Orleans match